Bandit
01-11-2004, 05:17 PM
Show us the payoff
Sports facility deals not always rosy, says C.D. Howe Institute study
By RUSS FRANCIS
Monday Magazine Issue 15 Vol 28, April 11 - 17, 2002
The taxpayer-funded pro-arena forces are pretty clear about the extensive payoffs Victoria will get by building a new multiplex.
“Construction and operation of this building will create new jobs and bring millions of dollars into the local economy,” says the official City of Victoria brochure, distributed last week by the Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce.
But a new study by a respected Canadian think-tank—the Toronto-based C.D. Howe Institute—suggests a new arena may not bring those millions to Victoria.
According to the right-of-centre institute’s report, completed March 5, spending on sports and cultural events is often simply diverted from other community activities.
“Job creation is minimal,” says the report, Bread and Circuses, conducted by University of Western Ontario economics professor John Palmer.
Chartered accountant Walter Creed, who completed a detailed arena feasibility study in March, 2001, said this week it wasn’t part of his mandate to study spinoff benefits.
However, he’s sure there will be some, such as in construction.
“You’re spending $29 million—you’ve got a whole bunch of economic spinoffs,” says Creed. “I think it’s a win-win.”
But the C.D. Howe study warns against supporters’ claims that government spending on sports or arts facilities leads to spinoff economic benefits: “The multiplier effects are usually small and might even be negative in some instances.”
The claim often made by proponents is that if the project brings $1,000 worth of new spending to an area, whoever gets that $1,000 will re-spend, say, $900 of it. Whoever gets the $900 will re-spend 90 percent of that, and so on.
This is called the “multiplier effect.”
Palmer says this analysis ignores the other things that the government funding might have gone towards, had the pet project not gone ahead.
“Sometimes government spending on one project simply means there will be less government spending on other projects, and the multiplier effect will, on balance, be zero,” says the report.
It could be even worse.
If government spending takes place at the expense of higher taxes—as is the case for Victoria’s arena—it means lower disposable incomes for local residents.
“[T]he multiplier effect might be small, zero, or possibly even negative,” says Palmer, who teaches a course on the economics of sport.
He adds that for spinoff benefits to occur, the spending must be new—not merely spending diverted from one local event to another.
Some people might decide to attend events at the new facility, and therefore might rent fewer videos or spend less at local nightclubs.
“[I]f money spent on meals while attending a sporting or cultural event would have been spent anyway on meals at other restaurants in the area at roughly the same time, it would be inappropriate to consider this amount as ‘new’ spending,” suggests the report.
Palmer advises distinguishing between supporters’ “optimistic projections on the one hand and careful analysis on the other.”
“Although some supporters of local government subsidies of sports have estimated multipliers as high as seven, numerous studies have found the multipliers to be near zero or possibly even zero,” writes Palmer.
The study includes a section on the impact of minor league sports and regional cultural ventures—such as the Western Hockey League team that is part of the Victoria deal. Palmer estimates that the net economic impact of such operations is only 30 to 60 percent of the facility’s revenue.
Jobs for Everyone?
“We need the job creation and the economic spinoff activity,” mayor Alan Lowe told reporters at the March 15 kickoff of his taxpayer-funded arena deal publicity campaign.
But the C.D. Howe study throws cold water on that suggestion, too.
“To the extent that employers hire labour in a competitive market, and to the extent that labour moves freely from nearby communities (or even more distant ones), the job creation argument is bogus,” says the report. “Jobs created by economic activity in one community are often nothing more than jobs lost elsewhere in the province or country.”
However, this influx of workers—people who may take jobs at the new facility and possibly move to Victoria from other municipalities—raises local property values, says Palmer.
Consequently, long-term benefits accrue primarily to the owners of “fixed factors,” especially real estate.
“[T]o the extent that external benefits are captured and internalized within the community, they become gains for the owners of real estate in the community,” says Palmer.
In other words, landlords may do well, while tenants—who form the majority of Victoria residents—could be worse off as rents are raised or owners sell the properties to take advantage of higher values.
Cindy L’Hirondelle, of the Renters Union, worries that the new arena will further Victoria’s “gentrification” and make low-income housing even harder to find.
“It’s going to exacerbate an already difficult situation for low-income tenants,” says L’Hirondelle.
Palmer concludes that the economic benefits of arenas are questionable.
But what about the oft-made assertion that having more sports and culture in a community improves the “ambience, morale, civic pride and desirability” of living in it?
According to the report, these claims are difficult to evaluate.
While benefits do show up in communities where there are internationally recognized festivals, such as Ontario’s Stratford and Niagara-on-the-Lake, it is less clear that sports and other cultural events produce similar effects.
Says the report: “Given the small size of these benefits, proponents of government funding for such activities must look elsewhere for their justification
Sports facility deals not always rosy, says C.D. Howe Institute study
By RUSS FRANCIS
Monday Magazine Issue 15 Vol 28, April 11 - 17, 2002
The taxpayer-funded pro-arena forces are pretty clear about the extensive payoffs Victoria will get by building a new multiplex.
“Construction and operation of this building will create new jobs and bring millions of dollars into the local economy,” says the official City of Victoria brochure, distributed last week by the Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce.
But a new study by a respected Canadian think-tank—the Toronto-based C.D. Howe Institute—suggests a new arena may not bring those millions to Victoria.
According to the right-of-centre institute’s report, completed March 5, spending on sports and cultural events is often simply diverted from other community activities.
“Job creation is minimal,” says the report, Bread and Circuses, conducted by University of Western Ontario economics professor John Palmer.
Chartered accountant Walter Creed, who completed a detailed arena feasibility study in March, 2001, said this week it wasn’t part of his mandate to study spinoff benefits.
However, he’s sure there will be some, such as in construction.
“You’re spending $29 million—you’ve got a whole bunch of economic spinoffs,” says Creed. “I think it’s a win-win.”
But the C.D. Howe study warns against supporters’ claims that government spending on sports or arts facilities leads to spinoff economic benefits: “The multiplier effects are usually small and might even be negative in some instances.”
The claim often made by proponents is that if the project brings $1,000 worth of new spending to an area, whoever gets that $1,000 will re-spend, say, $900 of it. Whoever gets the $900 will re-spend 90 percent of that, and so on.
This is called the “multiplier effect.”
Palmer says this analysis ignores the other things that the government funding might have gone towards, had the pet project not gone ahead.
“Sometimes government spending on one project simply means there will be less government spending on other projects, and the multiplier effect will, on balance, be zero,” says the report.
It could be even worse.
If government spending takes place at the expense of higher taxes—as is the case for Victoria’s arena—it means lower disposable incomes for local residents.
“[T]he multiplier effect might be small, zero, or possibly even negative,” says Palmer, who teaches a course on the economics of sport.
He adds that for spinoff benefits to occur, the spending must be new—not merely spending diverted from one local event to another.
Some people might decide to attend events at the new facility, and therefore might rent fewer videos or spend less at local nightclubs.
“[I]f money spent on meals while attending a sporting or cultural event would have been spent anyway on meals at other restaurants in the area at roughly the same time, it would be inappropriate to consider this amount as ‘new’ spending,” suggests the report.
Palmer advises distinguishing between supporters’ “optimistic projections on the one hand and careful analysis on the other.”
“Although some supporters of local government subsidies of sports have estimated multipliers as high as seven, numerous studies have found the multipliers to be near zero or possibly even zero,” writes Palmer.
The study includes a section on the impact of minor league sports and regional cultural ventures—such as the Western Hockey League team that is part of the Victoria deal. Palmer estimates that the net economic impact of such operations is only 30 to 60 percent of the facility’s revenue.
Jobs for Everyone?
“We need the job creation and the economic spinoff activity,” mayor Alan Lowe told reporters at the March 15 kickoff of his taxpayer-funded arena deal publicity campaign.
But the C.D. Howe study throws cold water on that suggestion, too.
“To the extent that employers hire labour in a competitive market, and to the extent that labour moves freely from nearby communities (or even more distant ones), the job creation argument is bogus,” says the report. “Jobs created by economic activity in one community are often nothing more than jobs lost elsewhere in the province or country.”
However, this influx of workers—people who may take jobs at the new facility and possibly move to Victoria from other municipalities—raises local property values, says Palmer.
Consequently, long-term benefits accrue primarily to the owners of “fixed factors,” especially real estate.
“[T]o the extent that external benefits are captured and internalized within the community, they become gains for the owners of real estate in the community,” says Palmer.
In other words, landlords may do well, while tenants—who form the majority of Victoria residents—could be worse off as rents are raised or owners sell the properties to take advantage of higher values.
Cindy L’Hirondelle, of the Renters Union, worries that the new arena will further Victoria’s “gentrification” and make low-income housing even harder to find.
“It’s going to exacerbate an already difficult situation for low-income tenants,” says L’Hirondelle.
Palmer concludes that the economic benefits of arenas are questionable.
But what about the oft-made assertion that having more sports and culture in a community improves the “ambience, morale, civic pride and desirability” of living in it?
According to the report, these claims are difficult to evaluate.
While benefits do show up in communities where there are internationally recognized festivals, such as Ontario’s Stratford and Niagara-on-the-Lake, it is less clear that sports and other cultural events produce similar effects.
Says the report: “Given the small size of these benefits, proponents of government funding for such activities must look elsewhere for their justification